Sporting Cristal vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
FCS
1 - 1
SPC
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 2
CAN
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
SPC
3 - 2
UTC
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 2
MEL
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 1
BIN
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 3
MAN
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
SAM
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
AGP
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AYA
5 - 0
SAM
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |