Europa League 1/16
Global 1-5
Sporting Braga vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPB
16%
20%
64%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
35%
24%
40%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 2
FCP
36%
24%
40%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
SPB
2 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 4
SPB
14%
20%
66%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 0
UDI
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
3 - 1
VER
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
4 - 3
SPE
79%
14%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 3
SPE
81%
12%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |