Europa League 1/16
Global 2-0
Sporting Braga vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
SPB
1 - 0
AVE
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
SPB
42%
29%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SPB
2 - 1
PON
87%
9%
3%
|
78 | 27 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPB
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
SPB
2 - 2
BOA
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ROM
3 - 0
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
1 - 0
TOR
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 2
ROM
26%
26%
49%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
EMP
2 - 0
PAR
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |