Qualif. Champions Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Sporting Braga vs Panathinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 4
SPB
13%
19%
68%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BAC
1 - 4
SPB
24%
22%
54%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 2
FAM
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 0
BAC
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
NIC
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Panathinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAN
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 2
SKD
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SKD
1 - 3
PAN
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
PAN
0 - 1
RAY
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |