Sporting Braga vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
POR
1 - 4
SPB
8%
16%
76%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ARO
0 - 1
SPB
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
RMA
3 - 0
SPB
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SPB
6 - 1
POR
77%
16%
8%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 1
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 1
AUG
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 0
FCU
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
1 - 1
FCU
85%
11%
5%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 3
EIN
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
STU
1 - 0
FCU
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |