Sporting Braga II vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
8º
6º
7
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 8 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
79% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 7 |
6º
|
62% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 0
BRA
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
FEL
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 1
BRA
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
UDL
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FEL
2 - 0
BRA
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 0
FEL
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ALV
1 - 2
UDL
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 1
BRA
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 1
ALV
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
UDL
3 - 1
ALV
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |