Sporting Alcarreño vs Rayo Arriacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
67.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-98%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MAN
5 - 0
ALC
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
CVL
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
ALC
69%
17%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
JAD
22%
20%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CIF
0 - 0
ALC
59%
20%
21%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Arriacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
RAY
55%
20%
25%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RAY
6 - 0
YEB
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
IBE
2 - 1
RAY
45%
22%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 5
ALM
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
RAY
2 - 1
MAN
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |