Sport Recife vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAN
85%
12%
4%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
MUR
89%
9%
3%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 2
SPO
14%
23%
63%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
TDC
0 - 4
SPO
7%
18%
75%
|
84 | 29 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
NAU
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
RFC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
0 - 1
RIV
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
82%
13%
5%
|
65 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NAU
1 - 0
SPO
19%
26%
55%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |