Sport Recife vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
POR
5 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
COR
3 - 0
SPO
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 0
COT
25%
27%
49%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 2
SPO
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 1
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 1
CRZ
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
BSC
0 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |