Sport Recife Sub 20 vs Grêmio Sub 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sport Recife Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 2
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
PON
1 - 2
SPO
32%
22%
45%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 0
BAH
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
COR
1 - 2
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPO
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Sub 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
GRE
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOT
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
PAL
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
GRE
35%
22%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 1
GRE
78%
15%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |