Qualif. Champions Tercera fase Final
Global 2-2
Spartak Moskva vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
KRS
0 - 2
SPA
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
SPA
3 - 2
TOM
71%
18%
10%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
VLA
1 - 1
SPA
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
SPA
3 - 1
ZEN
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
PER
0 - 1
SPA
23%
26%
52%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
FAL
1 - 4
CEL
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
CEL
0 - 0
KIL
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
DUN
0 - 1
CEL
14%
19%
67%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
HIB
2 - 1
CEL
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CEL
2 - 1
ABE
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |