SPAL U19 vs AC Monza U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
55.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
5º
58
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 2
VIC
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 2
SPA
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
3 - 0
REG
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COM
0 - 1
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
BRE
14%
19%
67%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
AC Monza U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
5 - 1
CIT
67%
18%
15%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
6 - 1
PUB
83%
11%
6%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ABL
4 - 1
ASS
29%
22%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
VIC
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PAD
1 - 4
ASS
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |