SPAL vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
VER
3 - 0
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 1
TOR
21%
24%
55%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 6
ROM
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
BRE
2 - 1
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
SPA
0 - 4
INT
12%
21%
67%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
4 - 0
BOL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
INT
0 - 0
FIO
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
FIO
2 - 0
TOR
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
LEC
1 - 3
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |