Southampton vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ASV
4 - 0
SOU
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SOU
3 - 1
WHU
31%
26%
44%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
NOR
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SOU
2 - 0
EVE
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
WOL
4 - 0
WAT
52%
26%
21%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 3
ARS
16%
22%
63%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MUD
0 - 0
WAT
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 4
CRY
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ASV
0 - 1
WAT
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |