Southampton vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
2 - 2
LIN
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 0
SUN
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
COV
1 - 1
SOU
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
SOU
4 - 0
MID
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
POS
1 - 4
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
MUD
2 - 1
SWI
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
NEW
5 - 0
MUD
33%
25%
43%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
FEN
0 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
MUD
1 - 0
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
MUD
2 - 0
TOT
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |