Sol de América vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
7º
11º
7º
31
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AME
6 - 0
12O
75%
18%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
2DE
1 - 1
AME
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FER
0 - 2
AME
35%
27%
39%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 2
SPT
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
GUA
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |