Sogndal vs Raufoss IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
10º
10º
36
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 50 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 43 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 37 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
82% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
ELP
0 - 2
SOG
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SOG
5 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
SOG
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 1
KFU
28%
23%
50%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRY
1 - 0
SOG
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Raufoss IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
RAU
0 - 2
MOS
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
RAU
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
RAU
2 - 3
FFK
26%
23%
52%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RAU
1 - 0
ASA
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 2
RAU
43%
23%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |