Sete de Setembro vs Vera Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
RFC
4 - 0
SSS
74%
17%
10%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SSS
1 - 3
SAN
15%
25%
61%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SAL
4 - 0
SSS
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
SSS
0 - 3
NAU
5%
16%
79%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
SPO
7 - 0
SSS
85%
12%
3%
|
31 | 73 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Vera Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
NAU
7%
18%
76%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
3 - 1
VCR
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 73 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 2
VCR
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
VCR
1 - 2
RFC
26%
23%
50%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 1
VCR
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |