Smouha SC vs Al-Ahly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smouha SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
SMO
2 - 1
GOU
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
NBE
0 - 0
SMO
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
SMO
0 - 1
ISM
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2021 |
SMO
1 - 0
GEI
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
SMO
2 - 1
ISM
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
MOK
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
ISM
1 - 1
ALA
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 0
GOU
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
CCF
1 - 1
ALA
9%
22%
69%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 1
RCA
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |