Cup Semi-finals
Global 0-3
Sivasspor vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sivasspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SIV
1 - 3
FEN
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 2
SIV
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SIV
4 - 1
TRA
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GIR
1 - 0
SIV
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SIV
1 - 1
IST
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SIV
1 - 3
FEN
27%
25%
48%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
FEN
3 - 3
IST
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
IST
1 - 2
FEN
34%
26%
41%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FEN
2 - 1
ANK
80%
14%
6%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
FAT
1 - 2
FEN
31%
24%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |