Siena vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
GEN
4 - 2
SIE
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 1
LAZ
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 1
SIE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 1
JUV
18%
25%
58%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
SIE
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
GRO
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 1
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CES
2 - 2
GRO
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 2
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SAS
2 - 3
GRO
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |