Siena vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAG
1 - 3
SIE
48%
28%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 2
ACM
18%
24%
57%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
REG
1 - 1
SIE
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 3
JUV
20%
25%
55%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
INT
3 - 0
SIE
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 3
JUV
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
7 - 1
KOS
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 2
ROM
26%
23%
50%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
KOS
3 - 3
ROM
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 7
ROM
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |