Siena vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 0
SIE
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 0
SAM
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 2
SIE
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACM
2 - 1
SIE
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SIE
0 - 2
NAP
28%
27%
46%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
INT
2 - 2
TOR
80%
14%
6%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
ROM
2 - 1
INT
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ROM
1 - 1
INT
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
INT
3 - 2
BOL
75%
16%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
PES
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |