Shanxi Longcheng vs Qingdao Red Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanxi Longcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SLZ
0 - 2
LIJ
10%
17%
73%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
HWU
1 - 1
SLZ
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
SLZ
5 - 3
GUA
85%
11%
3%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2015 |
SLZ
3 - 1
QIN
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
ZSU
2 - 2
SLZ
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Qingdao Red Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ZQF
0 - 1
QFC
70%
19%
12%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
QFC
1 - 2
TTF
17%
23%
61%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
QFC
1 - 0
NHC
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
QFC
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
QFC
1 - 0
QYF
18%
24%
58%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |