Shanghái Port vs Changchun Yatai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
5º
1º
13
9º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
39 | 71 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 65 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 54 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 50 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
80.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
14% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghái Port
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SJF
0 - 6
SHA
13%
22%
65%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 5
SHA
14%
23%
63%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
SHA
55%
23%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 3
SHA
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 3
SHA
10%
22%
68%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Changchun Yatai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 3
CHA
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SJF
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
MEI
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 0
CHA
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CBC
26%
27%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |