Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
3º
2º
15
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 71 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 65 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 61 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 55 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 54 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 50 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 42 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 28 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 26 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 22 |
16º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
49.5% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
22% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 7% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
TIT
0 - 0
SHA
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 0
HAN
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
SHA
4 - 0
SHI
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
SHA
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 2
SHA
14%
25%
61%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Qingdao Hainiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
QIN
2 - 2
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WFC
1 - 0
QIN
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
QIN
0 - 5
SHA
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 3
QIN
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HEN
1 - 0
QIN
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |