Shakhtyor Soligorsk vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
4º
15º
12º
28
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 62 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 53 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhtyor Soligorsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2024 |
NEM
1 - 0
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 2
FKS
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
SHA
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 3
SLA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 4
DIN
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 1
ISL
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
BAT
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 1
DNP
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
BAT
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 3
GOM
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |