CHAN Qualifying Primera Ronda Final
Global 0-4
Seychelles vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SYC
1 - 2
COM
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
ANG
3 - 0
SYC
83%
14%
4%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
SYC
0 - 1
BOT
12%
24%
64%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
LSO
3 - 1
SYC
68%
21%
11%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SYC
0 - 0
LSO
11%
19%
70%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 2
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
MAD
0 - 2
NAM
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAD
1 - 1
ANG
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
GHA
3 - 0
MAD
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 1
TAN
39%
27%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |