Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-2
Sevilla vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 1
SEV
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 0
SEV
58%
22%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 1
SRQ
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SEV
2 - 6
RMA
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
SRQ
0 - 1
SEV
10%
19%
71%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
VCF
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
VCF
1 - 0
SEV
58%
22%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
VCF
4 - 0
CAD
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 0
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
CAD
0 - 0
VCF
16%
24%
61%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |