Serverense vs Murense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
SER
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
SER
59%
20%
21%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
SVE
3 - 0
SER
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SER
4 - 0
ALG
45%
24%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SER
3 - 0
SPO
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UDA
2 - 3
MUR
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDS
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 0
PON
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 2
MUR
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |