Sertãozinho vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
43%
26%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
USA
3 - 1
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 3
GRE
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DES
1 - 0
SER
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 0
SER
39%
27%
35%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
BRU
28%
26%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
BER
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
VOT
1 - 1
MAR
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAR
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |