Paulista A3 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Sertãozinho vs EC São Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 2
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
DES
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
LEM
0 - 0
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BER
0 - 1
CAB
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
BER
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
RIO
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BER
2 - 2
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LEM
0 - 0
BER
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |