Sertãozinho vs Desportivo Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
LEM
0 - 0
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAT
2 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
BAN
36%
25%
38%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
SER
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 1
VOT
41%
27%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
DES
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DES
0 - 0
UNI
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DES
0 - 3
BER
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |