Sertanense vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.1%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.1%
80%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
16.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
18.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
16.7%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALV
0 - 1
SER
20%
21%
59%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 3
SER
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SER
3 - 2
ANA
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDL
3 - 0
SER
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
BEN
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 3
SLB
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 0
AVE
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SLB
0 - 2
BYM
15%
18%
67%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |