Sergipe vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SER
4 - 0
AFP
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 1
SER
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
SER
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
BRA
30%
26%
43%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAU
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 3
FOR
28%
25%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
0 - 1
TRE
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NAU
0 - 2
VCR
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |