Sergipe vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
SER
0 - 5
CRZ
9%
22%
69%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
CRB
9%
20%
72%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
FLO
1 - 0
SER
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
11%
18%
71%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
0 - 0
FFL
12%
23%
65%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 2
ATG
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
LAG
32%
23%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 0
AFP
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |