Seregno vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
64.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
PER
3 - 3
SER
55%
25%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
FER
3 - 1
SER
72%
19%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
FIO
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
REN
1 - 0
SER
64%
23%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
TRI
25%
26%
49%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 0
PAD
11%
22%
67%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
PAD
12%
22%
66%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
70%
22%
9%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
PAD
21%
26%
53%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 1
PAD
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |