Zambia vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 1
TAN
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
COD
1 - 1
ZAM
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CMR
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
NIG
2 - 1
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
ZAM
4 - 2
CGO
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
COD
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
TAN
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SLE
84%
13%
4%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 2
MAR
10%
22%
68%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBR
81%
14%
6%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |