Venezuela vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
JPN
1 - 4
VEN
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
2 - 0
TTO
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
VEN
4 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
COL
0 - 0
VEN
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
2 - 2
PER
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
KSA
0 - 0
PAR
34%
28%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
BGR
0 - 1
PAR
43%
26%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SVK
1 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
23%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
SRB
1 - 0
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |