Venezuela vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
VEN
1 - 0
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
UZB
1 - 1
VEN
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
VEN
2 - 1
SAU
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
VEN
2 - 1
SYR
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
VEN
2 - 2
PAN
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
CRI
0 - 1
GTM
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
TTO
1 - 0
GTM
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 0
GTM
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
GTM
4 - 0
GUF
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BLZ
1 - 2
GTM
9%
17%
75%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |