Uruguay vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
URU
1 - 0
KSA
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
EGY
0 - 1
URU
28%
25%
48%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
URU
3 - 0
UZB
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
AUT
2 - 1
URU
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
POL
0 - 0
URU
43%
25%
33%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
RUS
3 - 1
EGY
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
RUS
5 - 0
KSA
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
RUS
1 - 1
TUR
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
AUT
1 - 0
RUS
40%
26%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
RUS
1 - 3
FRA
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |