Ukraine vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
UKR
2 - 0
ISR
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
MNE
0 - 4
UKR
25%
26%
49%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
UKR
0 - 0
CMR
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
UKR
2 - 1
MDA
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
POL
1 - 3
UKR
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2013 |
ITA
4 - 0
SMR
83%
13%
4%
|
32 | 94 | 62 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
5%
|
32 | 88 | 56 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 8
ENG
6%
16%
78%
|
32 | 96 | 64 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MNE
3 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
6%
|
32 | 75 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
SMR
0 - 2
MDA
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | -1 |