Togo vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2012 |
EGY
3 - 0
TOG
86%
10%
4%
|
61 | 89 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
KEN
2 - 1
TOG
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
TOG
1 - 0
GNB
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
GNB
1 - 1
TOG
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TUN
2 - 0
TOG
74%
17%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
LBY
1 - 0
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 0
RWA
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
SEN
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 2
ZAM
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
19%
26%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |