Suriname vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.9%
76.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.5%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
SUR
2 - 1
NIC
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MEX
3 - 0
SUR
84%
12%
4%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
JAM
3 - 1
SUR
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SUR
1 - 1
JAM
14%
21%
66%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
GUF
3 - 1
SUR
39%
23%
37%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
KSA
1 - 2
MEX
15%
22%
63%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 0
MEX
70%
18%
12%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 0
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 2
SWE
52%
24%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
4 - 0
IRQ
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |