Sweden vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
SWE
2 - 1
ESP
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
SWE
1 - 2
UKR
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
SWE
3 - 2
POL
43%
25%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
SWE
1 - 0
SVK
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
SWE
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
KSA
3 - 0
UZB
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
YEM
0 - 1
UZB
9%
18%
73%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
UZB
5 - 0
SGP
82%
14%
5%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
UZB
0 - 1
IRQ
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
UZB
2 - 1
GHA
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |