Sweden vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
67%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
SWE
1 - 2
UKR
49%
25%
26%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
SWE
3 - 2
POL
43%
25%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
SWE
1 - 0
SVK
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
SWE
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SWE
3 - 1
ARM
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
ESP
29%
24%
47%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
SUI
1 - 1
ESP
19%
21%
60%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
CRO
3 - 5
ESP
18%
21%
61%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
SVK
0 - 5
ESP
9%
16%
74%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 1
POL
77%
15%
9%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |