Russia vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
RUS
84%
12%
5%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2004 |
AUT
0 - 0
RUS
45%
25%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 2
RUS
50%
25%
25%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
BGR
2 - 2
RUS
43%
26%
31%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
WAL
0 - 1
RUS
30%
27%
44%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
GRC
78%
14%
8%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
POR
4 - 1
LTU
83%
13%
5%
|
96 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
POR
3 - 0
LUX
85%
12%
4%
|
96 | 37 | 59 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
POR
2 - 2
SWE
60%
22%
17%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
POR
1 - 2
ITA
46%
27%
27%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |