Ireland vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SRB
3 - 2
IRL
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
IRL
0 - 0
BGR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
WLS
1 - 0
IRL
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
ENG
3 - 0
IRL
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
1 - 0
IRL
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
QAT
1 - 0
LUX
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 0
AZE
32%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CYP
2 - 1
LUX
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LUX
0 - 3
AUT
12%
19%
70%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
MNE
1 - 2
LUX
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |