Portugal vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PRT
2 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
PRT
4%
14%
83%
|
93 | 24 | 69 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BIH
0 - 5
PRT
9%
19%
72%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PRT
3 - 2
SVK
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
PRT
9 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 60 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SWE
2 - 1
EST
83%
13%
4%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 0
EST
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
AZE
3 - 0
SWE
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 1
SWE
76%
15%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 1
MDA
84%
12%
4%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |