Poland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
POL
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
JPN
0 - 1
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
POL
0 - 3
COL
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
POL
1 - 2
SEN
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2018 |
POL
4 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
WLS
4 - 1
IRL
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
IRL
2 - 1
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 0
IRL
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 0
IRL
50%
26%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
IRL
1 - 5
DNK
41%
26%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |